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How To Beat The Bookies’ World Cup 2014 Odds

How To Beat The Bookies’ World Cup 2014 Odds

23 May 2014

By Guest Blogger Sam Darby


Everyone has had a look at the odds to win World Cup 2014 by now and it seems most are backing Brazil at 3/1. Difficult to pick too many holes in Brazil even at that price. No European team has ever gone to an American continent and won the World Cup whilst Brazil showed what a force they are at home when beating Spain 3-0 in the Confederations Cup final last summer. There might just be a bit more value in some bets that fewer punters have considered.

One of the best group betting opportunities could be a dual forecast (both teams to qualify) on France 
and Switzerland at 11/10 in Group E. Both are solid selections and there looks to be little opposition. 
Honduras couldn’t even score a goal at the last World Cup so look unlikely to qualify whilst Ecuador 
were too reliant on their home record in qualification. They play their home games at high altitude and 
only 3 of their 27 points came away from home which suggests they may struggle here.

Another forecast bet worth noting is a straight forecast on Germany to finish above Portugal in Group 
G. The other two teams in the group are Ghana and USA but whilst both are respected, neither are in 
the class of Germany or Portugal. The two Europeans were drawn together in the group stage of Euro 
2012 with Germany finishing 1st will be upheld here. At around 13/8 that looks a good bet.

One market that is often ignored but throws up some great betting opportunities is the team top 
scorer. The stand out bet here could be Oribe Peralta for Mexico. All he has to do is outscore his 
team mates and he did that easily in qualifying scoring 10 goals, twice as many as the next best 
player which was Man Utd’s Javier Hernandez. With that sort of superiority it is hugely surprising to 
see some bookies offer 3/1 that Peralta ends up top scorer for Mexico at this World Cup.

Sticking with the team top scorers Mario Balotelli also looks worth an interest at 15/8 for Italy. He
proved that he turns up to the big games at Euro 2012 with two goals in the semi final and was again 
Italy’s top scorer in qualifying with five goals. The only other player for Italy to score more than twice 
in qualifying was Dani Osvaldo and he’s failed to make the squad meaning that Mario Balotelli, who 
takes the penalties for his team, looks a quality bet.